This morning I used to be paying attention to a program on global geoengineering, which sounds very grand, and to be honest quite frightening – the thought of manipulating the weather systems on a world scale – with unknown consequences.
But this story made me give some thought to the impact of temperature change on the postal services, together with post sendungsverfolgung, around the world. OK, in an exceedingly blog post I’m not visiting go in a large number of details but I can a minimum of, hopefully, get you considering the medium-term impact of our current change in weather patterns – whether this can be simulated or not I’ll leave up to your judgment!
We’ve seen around the world that weather systems are changing and becoming more extreme. This phenomenon brings problems for the postal services whether that’s snow, drought, earthquakes, or winds, all of them cause headaches for the delivery of services. I used to be chatting with friends in Connecticut over the weekend and that they had been without power for 6 days as high winds had brought trees down and with it the facility lines. Interestingly for several residents, the mailman was the sole style of ‘formal’ communication they need had. These sorts of events seem to be happening on an increasingly frequent basis and aging infrastructures and utilities etc. are having difficulty dealing with the after-effects. These events will still place pressure on those trying to service the essential needs of the community for water, power, communications, and health care.
The provision of an infinite supply of resources will start to say no over the subsequent 30 – 50 years. Water, oil, wood, etc. will all become scarcer and thus costlier. One scenario may well be that paper becomes an awfully expensive commodity because it takes quite large amounts of these resources. The move to hybrid and electric vehicles are a few things that the postal services if they’re visiting survive, must implement for when the value of oil and petrol increase as supply potentially declines.
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Global climate change will potentially impact where people live and thereby where they require things delivered to. Rising sea levels are projected for a few times and although there are some small signs of this happening the complete impact may be quite devastating for coastal dwellers. If coastal areas are abandoned then the urban, noncoastal areas will become very crowded and this can place increasing demands on the social infrastructures, including mail. The second consequence of temperature change is that the working conditions for workers – the present trend seems to be hotter summers and colder winters, well for the united kingdom anyway. This suggests that things like air-con, historically an American phenomenon, will have to come to more temperate areas – although current air-conditioning is comparatively energy inefficient and so alternatives are also needed which could include dramatic changes in working patterns and building design.
Heating has become political over a previous couple of years and is seen as a way of raising taxes and ‘forcing through’ new legislation and controls. This may mean increasing taxes in travel, energy, etc. to fund sustainability publically services. This argument is potentially weak because the link to activate and global climate change remains not proven and there are experts on each side who will argue their case to great effect. However, this can not stop governments from using the guise of global climate change as a reason to extend taxes. On a separate note, the change in the use of resources will place pressure on the historic economic superpowers as society adopts new resourcing models.
Over the past couple of years, there has been a fall-off in letter volume traffic as communication moves from physical to virtual (Email, etc.) as they’re seen as greener and thus more acceptable means of communication. There has been a corresponding increase in the volumes of parcel and packet traffic as people shop online. I’d suggest that these trends will still a degree in 10 – 20 years’ time when letter traffic reaches an occasional point, becoming uneconomical to fund and operate a national postal infrastructure. I’ve got done some long-term modeling of those trends and that I predict that this time will come around 2034 or sooner if there are significant changes in weather patterns that force a change in customer behavior.